Is There a Chance for our Climate?
During the adoption of the Bali Action Plan, the Danish, Polish and Indonesian nations all agreed to go all out to ensure the success of the COP15 (in Copenhagen in 2009) summit.
Apparently the success or failure of this meeting will have an impact upon the implementation and strategies used by our Governments to give our planet the chance it needs to heal its climatic turmoil.
The gathered Nation
s already know how important the meetings are for future generations and indeed for the health of our world.
The background to this meeting was in part due to the final IPCC (intergovernmental panel on climate change) report, which focuses strongly on speed of action. Also widely recognized is the fact that 2009 is more or less the last chance we have to reach an agreement on a global scale. That is if it should be approved and ratified in time to be put into force after completion of the Kyoto Protocol in 2012.
United Nations Framework on Climate Change (UNFCCC) shows that countries can reach agreements quickly but there is a risk of becoming stalled by disagreements. The Danish government's objective would have the COP15 in Copenhagen result in an ambitious global agreement incorporating all countries. Obviously this is rather unlikely, would anyone believe the U.S. capable of agreeing to do that which it has not yet been asked to?
The changes in the world since the negotiations of the Kyoto Protocol in 1997 reveal a need for another agreement. China has replaced the U.S. as the largest emitter of greenhouse gases (no big surprises there), and oil prices have soared. This yet again reminds us that fossil fuels are not only a source of contamination, but also constitute an energy source whose reserves are steadily being challenged.
Climate change has become increasingly important on international and national levels and is very high on the global political agenda. The Annual Conference of Government political Parties has now become one of the most important focal points for international politics.
This means that during the parties meetings in Copenhagen from December 7th to December 18th this year, it will be the finale of a series of intense negotiations.
In 2008, the UNFCCC hosted over 40 meetings, conferences and other meetings, focusing on practical as well as political issues.
The meetings with the working group AWG-LCA show that although the parties supporting the UNFCCC agree that it should outline a "shared vision" on how to tackle climate change in the future, there is still disagreement on the exact content of that vision. For example, to what extent should the debate question long-term goals for preventative actions to combat climate change and how much time should be spent on more short – term issues.
The long-term goals, covering several decades in the future could become a pretext for inaction in the interim period, which is contrary to the ambitions of the Bali Action Plan, which have been accelerating the process of conversion for a more sustainable future. Technology transfer and financial assistance are high on the agenda as climate change will surely go down as one of the most (or the most) expensive undertakings of the modern world.
A more specific issue that is expected to be significant to the process of COP15 and the conference itself is how to treat forests. Deforestation only increases the greenhouse effect.
In principle, efforts to counter deforestation or increase reforestation should have a positive effect on the amount of GHGs in the atmosphere. Right now, the preservation of forests is being put fourth only as a “maybe” for CDMs (Clean Development Mechanism) consideration, but with the increasing pressure on remaining forests, there are groups that argue it should be included before it is too late.
Another particular debate is how we should resolve the relocation of businesses with a high level of energy consumption as well as new and alternative energies and there viability.
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